Prognostic Value of N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide, Troponin-T, and Growth-Differentiation Factor 15 in Adult Congenital Heart Disease

CirculationPublished Prospective cohort study

Main finding · CV eventsResult — go to the resultAdjusted hazard ratio 9.05 CI 3.24–25.3

Authors' conclusion

NT-proBNP provides prognostic information beyond a conventional risk marker model in patients with ACHD and can reliably exclude the risk of death and heart failure. Elevated levels of NT-proBNP, high-sensitive troponin-T, and growth-differentiation factor 15 identify patients at highest risk of cardiovascular events.

Study context

Population
Clinically stable outpatients with adult congenital heart disease (ACHD), April 2011–April 2013
Participants
595 outpatients
Exposure
NT-proBNP, high-sensitive troponin-T and GDF-15 levels and CV events
Outcome
CV events:
  • Death
  • HF
  • Hospitalization
  • Arrhythmia
  • Thromboembolic events
  • Reintervention
Follow-up
Median 42 (IQR 37-46) months

Main finding

CV events

Adjusted hazard ratio

9.05

CI 3.24–25.3

P < 0.001

NT-proBNP upper quartile
adjusted HR 9.05 (CI 3.24–25.3); P < 0.001

As reported in the abstract

Elevated NT-proBNP (>14 pmol/L), hs-troponin-T (>14 ng/L) and GDF-15 (>1109 ng/L) identified those at highest risk of CV events
log-rank P<0.0001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Death or HF

ComparisonAdjusted HR (CI)P value
NT-proBNP upper quartilen=50 events16.0 (2.04–126)P < 0.001
Death or HF — Cumulative proportion with death and HF in lowest 2 NT-proBNP quartiles
1%

Original publication

Prognostic Value of N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide, Troponin-T, and Growth-Differentiation Factor 15 in Adult Congenital Heart Disease. Circulation. Published 3 November 2016. doi:10.1161/circulationaha.116.023255

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

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