Prevention & lipidsCohort study

Prospective evaluation of a self-report-guided strategy for targeted coronary artery calcium imaging

HeartPublished

  • prospective, two-step, population-based screening approach

Authors' conclusion

A self-report-guided strategy enabled targeted CAC imaging in a model-selected cohort. Among participants completing CT imaging, the observed prevalence of CAC ≥100 was comparable with the mean model-predicted probability. These findings suggest that self-report data may support preselection for CAC imaging and help identify opportunities for preventive treatment among individuals with elevated CAC.

Study context

Population
Individuals aged 59–60 years without previous ischaemic heart disease, selected by a self-report-based model of the probability of coronary artery calcium (CAC) ≥100invited individuals, 2588 (32%) completed the questionnaire, 2375 eligible respondents, 814 classified as high risk, 563 underwent CT imaging
Participants
8,000 individuals
Exposure
Model-predicted probabilities vs the observed prevalence of CAC ≥100 among CT completers
Outcome
Agreement between model-predicted probabilities and the observed prevalence of CAC ≥100 among CT completers

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Mean predicted probability of CAC ≥100

28.3% (95% CI 27.2 to 29.3)

Observed prevalence of CAC ≥100

28.4% (95% CI 24.8 to 32.4)

Expected/observed ratio

0.99

Brier score

0.19

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Preventive lipid-lowering therapy among participants with CAC ≥100

Of those with CAC ≥100, not receiving lipid-lowering therapy
64%
Of those with CAC ≥100, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol ≤1.8 mmol/L
11%

Original publication

Prospective evaluation of a self-report-guided strategy for targeted coronary artery calcium imaging. Heart. Published 21 September 2026. doi:10.1136/heartjnl-2026-328767

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it