Arrhythmias & electrophysiologyMeta-analysis

Pulsed field vs thermal ablation for atrial fibrillation: A Bayesian meta-analysis

Heart RhythmPublished

  • Bayesian meta-analysis
  • individual patient data reconstructed from Kaplan-Meier curves
  • Cox frailty regression model
  • Bayesian random-effects model

Authors' conclusion

In patients with AF undergoing catheter ablation, PFA was associated with reduced arrhythmia recurrence compared with thermal ablation, with larger effects in observational studies and more modest effects in RCTs, and no signal of increased harm.

Study context

Population
Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing catheter ablation12 studies (4 RCTs, 8 observational), 46.6% pulsed field ablation (PFA) · randomized controlled trials [RCTs] 4 · observational 8
Participants
3,120 patients
Comparison
PFA vs thermal ablation

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Freedom from atrial tachyarrhythmia recurrence (time-to-event analysis, 1 RCT, 6 observational)

Hazard ratio

0.68

95% credible interval CI 0.55–0.84

PFA vs thermal ablation
hazard ratio 0.68 (95% credible interval CI 0.55–0.84)

Further pooled results

Time to benefit

Time to benefit to prevent 5 atrial arrhythmia recurrences per 100 PFA-treated patients
12 months

Probability of a clinically meaningful reduction (odds ratio <0.8) in arrhythmia recurrence (study-level)

RCTs
34.1%
observational studies
96.5%

Procedural and left atrial dwell times

PFA had a high likelihood of shorter procedural and left atrial dwell times

Original publication

Pulsed field vs thermal ablation for atrial fibrillation: A Bayesian meta-analysis. Heart Rhythm. Published 25 February 2026. doi:10.1016/j.hrthm.2026.02.028

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it