Prevention & lipidsCohort study

Reassessing the association between age at menarche and cardiovascular disease: observational and Mendelian randomization analyses

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished

  • Prospective cohort study with Mendelian randomisation analyses
  • observational and Mendelian randomization analyses
  • non-linear Mendelian randomization (MR) (fractional polynomials)
  • linear MR (inverse-variance weighted)

Authors' conclusion

This study supported non-linear observational associations between AAM and MI and ischaemic stroke. MR analyses suggested a causal relationship between higher AAM and risk of MI without an indication for non-linearity. There was no support for a potential causal link with ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke.

Study context

Population
Women without pre-existing myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke at baseline, EPIC-CVD and UK BiobankEPIC-CVD and UK Biobank
Participants
283,210 women
Exposure
Age at menarche
Outcome
Incident MI, ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke later in life

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Genetically proxied AAM (per year higher) and CVD (MR)

Hazard ratio

0.92

95% CI 0.86–0.99

Each year higher genetically proxied AAM
HR 0.92 (95% CI 0.86–0.99)

Each year higher genetically proxied AAM, as printed

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Observational association of age at menarche (AAM) with MI and ischaemic stroke

U-shaped: higher risks at AAM ≤12 and ≥16 vs 13 years

Events

MI
8468
Ischaemic stroke
5501
Haemorrhagic stroke
1887
Median AAM, years (IQR 12-14)
13

Original publication

Reassessing the association between age at menarche and cardiovascular disease: observational and Mendelian randomization analyses. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 18 March 2025. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf051

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it