Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Refining the CHA2DS2VASc risk stratification scheme: shall we drop the sex category criterion?

EuropacePublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Removing Sc from the CHA2DS2VASc score does not affect its ability to discriminate thromboembolic events in the population with AF.

Study context

Population
Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), UK, followed 1998–2016126,428 non-anticoagulated
Participants
195,719 patients
Exposure
CHA2DS2VA vs CHA2DS2VASc score
Outcome
Ischaemic stroke or systemic embolism
Methodological detailsUK primary and secondary care data
  • UK primary and secondary care data

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Discrimination of thromboembolic events

C-statistics similar for both scores over the years

0.62 to 0.71

Net reclassification improvement (NRI): improved reclassification in lower thromboembolic risk groups

11%

NRI: misclassification in higher-risk patients, without change in anticoagulation indication

−7%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Sex differences in thromboembolic risk

No sex difference in lower-risk population; higher stroke rates in women with CHA2DS2VA ≥2

Original publication

Refining the CHA2DS2VASc risk stratification scheme: shall we drop the sex category criterion? Europace. Published 10 November 2024. doi:10.1093/europace/euae280

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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