Heart failure & cardiomyopathiesCohort study

Risk of new-onset heart failure and heart failure exacerbations following COVID-19, influenza, or respiratory syncytial virus hospitalization

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished

  • Retrospective cohort study
  • population-based
  • overlap-weighted competing-risks regression
  • Heart-failure (HF) ascertained using national healthcare-claims data

Authors' conclusion

RVIs can contribute to post-acute risk of new-onset HF and HF readmissions.

Study context

Population
Adult Singaporeans (≥18 years) hospitalised for influenza/COVID-19/RSV, 01/01/2017–30/08/2023, stratified by pre-existing HF
Exposure
Hospitalisation for respiratory-viral-infection (RVI) vs orthopaedic hospitalisation
Outcome
Acute HF (new-onset/readmission)
Follow-up
Up to 180 days post-hospitalisation

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Acute HF (new-onset in those without HF; readmission in those with HF)
RVI vs ControlsAdjusted hazard ratio (95% CI)
new-onset HF, no pre-existing HF (N=59,408)
1.45(1.26–1.67)
HF readmission, HF patients (N=4163)
1.28(1.08–1.52)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeaHR (95% CI)
New-onset HF, by RVI type · up to 180 days post-hospitalisation — RSV vs Controls2.03 (1.26–3.25)
New-onset HF, by RVI type · up to 180 days post-hospitalisation — COVID-19 vs Controls1.36 (1.16–1.60)
New-onset HF, by RVI type · up to 180 days post-hospitalisation — Influenza vs Controls1.62 (1.28–2.06)
New-onset HF, by RVI type · up to 180 days post-hospitalisation — Influenza, vaccinated <365 days prior vs Controls · not significantly increased1.47 (0.82–2.64)
HF readmission, by vaccination status (HF patients) — COVID-19, ≥4 vaccine doses vs Controls · no increased risk0.86 (0.59–1.27)
HF readmission, by vaccination status (HF patients) — COVID-19, vaccinated <180 days prior vs Controls · no increased risk0.97 (0.79–1.20)
HF readmission, by vaccination status (HF patients) — Influenza, vaccinated <365 days prior vs Controls · not significantly increased1.63 (0.94–2.82)

HF readmission, by age

Elevated risk of HF readmission predominantly accrued in older patients (≥70 years)

Original publication

Risk of new-onset heart failure and heart failure exacerbations following COVID-19, influenza, or respiratory syncytial virus hospitalization. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 6 November 2025. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf714

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it