Prevention & lipidsCohort study

Sex-specific lifetime risk of cardiovascular events: the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer-Norfolk prospective population cohort study

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished

  • Prospective population cohort study
  • population-based
  • median follow-up 26.2 years

Authors' conclusion

Men had substantially higher risk of incident CVD and CV mortality than women, which was attenuated amongst people with prevalent CVD.

Study context

Population
Participants of the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer-Norfolk, with and without prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD)54.5% women
Participants
23,859 participants
Exposure
Men vs women
Outcome
Sex-specific lifetime risks of incident CVD and CV mortality (accounting for competing risk of death)
Follow-up
At age 75

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident CVD and CV mortality (adjusted lifetime risk)

Men

69.1%

Incident CVD · CV mortality 4.4%

Women

57.7%

Incident CVD · CV mortality 3.1%

Men vs WomenCause-specific hazard ratio (99% CI)
incident CVD
1.49(1.41–1.57)
CV mortality
1.42(1.31–1.54)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

First CVD presentation

MI was the predominant first presentation in men until the eighth decade
In women, first CVD manifestations after the sixth decade were predominantly AF and stroke

Incident CVD and CV mortality in people with prevalent CVD (subgroup)

Male-associated excess relative risks halved in people with prevalent CVD

Original publication

Sex-specific lifetime risk of cardiovascular events: the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer-Norfolk prospective population cohort study. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 30 November 2023. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwad283

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it