Acute cardiac care & resuscitation

Sex-specific prediction of cardiogenic shock after acute coronary syndromes: the SEX-SHOCK score

Eur Heart JPublished Risk prediction model development and validation study

Authors' conclusion

The ORBI score showed modest sex-specific performance. The novel SEX-SHOCK score provides superior performance in females and males across the entire spectrum of ACS

Study context

Population
Acute coronary syndromes (ACS) patients without cardiogenic shock on admission undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI)
Participants
53,537 patients
Comparison
SEX-SHOCK score vs ORBI score, by sex
Outcome
Discrimination (AUC) for prediction of in-hospital cardiogenic shock, by sex
Methodological detailsmultinational, internal and external validation, regression and machine-learning models
  • Multinational
  • Internal and external validation
  • Regression and machine-learning models

Performance

As reported in the abstract

AUC for CS prediction
Test or modelAUC females, SwissAUC males, SwissAUC females, FrenchAUC males, FrenchAUC femalesAUC malesAUC females, RICOAUC males, RICOAUC females, SPUM-ACSAUC males, SPUM-ACS
ORBI0.78 [0.76-0.81]0.81 [0.79-0.83]0.77 [0.74-0.81]0.84 [0.81-0.86]Not reported in the abstractNot reported in the abstractNot reported in the abstractNot reported in the abstractNot reported in the abstractNot reported in the abstract
SEX-SHOCKNot reported in the abstractNot reported in the abstractNot reported in the abstractNot reported in the abstract0.81 [0.78-0.83]0.83 [0.82-0.85]0.82 [0.79-0.85]0.88 [0.86-0.89]0.83 [0.77-0.90]0.83 [0.80-0.87]

AUC females, Swiss

ORBI0.78 [0.76-0.81]
SEX-SHOCKNot reported in the abstract

AUC males, Swiss

ORBI0.81 [0.79-0.83]
SEX-SHOCKNot reported in the abstract

AUC females, French

ORBI0.77 [0.74-0.81]
SEX-SHOCKNot reported in the abstract

AUC males, French

ORBI0.84 [0.81-0.86]
SEX-SHOCKNot reported in the abstract

AUC females

ORBINot reported in the abstract
SEX-SHOCK0.81 [0.78-0.83]

AUC males

ORBINot reported in the abstract
SEX-SHOCK0.83 [0.82-0.85]

AUC females, RICO

ORBINot reported in the abstract
SEX-SHOCK0.82 [0.79-0.85]

AUC males, RICO

ORBINot reported in the abstract
SEX-SHOCK0.88 [0.86-0.89]

AUC females, SPUM-ACS

ORBINot reported in the abstract
SEX-SHOCK0.83 [0.77-0.90]

AUC males, SPUM-ACS

ORBINot reported in the abstract
SEX-SHOCK0.83 [0.80-0.87]
  • SEX-SHOCK vs ORBI: P < 0.001 — outperformed ORBI in both sexes
  • SEX-SHOCK vs ORBI: P < 0.001 — RICO validation
  • SEX-SHOCK vs ORBI: P = 0.004 — SPUM-ACS validation, females
  • SEX-SHOCK vs ORBI: P = 0.001 — SPUM-ACS validation, males

Further findings

ORBI discrimination, females vs males

ORBI lower AUC in females than males, Swiss
P = 0.048
ORBI lower AUC in females than males, French
P = 0.002

Original publication

Sex-specific prediction of cardiogenic shock after acute coronary syndromes: the SEX-SHOCK score. Eur Heart J. Published 1 September 2024. doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehae593

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

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