Arrhythmias & electrophysiologyResearch article

Socioeconomic deprivation and reclassification of ischemic stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation: A report from UK Biobank

Heart RhythmPublished

  • report from UK Biobank

Authors' conclusion

Socioeconomic deprivation independently predicts ischemic stroke in AF and enhances risk stratification beyond clinical scores, highlighting the value of incorporating socioeconomic metrics into risk prediction, thus impacting clinical decision.

Study context

Population
United Kingdom Biobank participants with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation (AF), excluding those with prior stroke or baseline use of antithromboticUnited Kingdom Biobank participants with newly diagnosed AF
Participants
21,893 participants
Comparison
highly-deprived group vs control group
Outcome
incident ischemic stroke
Follow-up
Median 3.9 years (1.6-7.2)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Adjusted hazard ratio

1.75

95% CI 1.24–2.46

P = 0.001

By group

highly-deprived group vs control group
adjusted HR 1.75 (95% CI 1.24–2.46); P = 0.001

Further findings

Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) domains

Income, employment, health, and living environment deprivation were most strongly associated with increased stroke risk

Stroke incidence by CHA2DS2-VA score

In patients with CHA2DS2-VA score 0-1, stroke incidence in the highly-deprived group exceeded that of control individuals with score 2-3

Adding IMD to the CHA2DS2-VA score

C-index
from 0.595 to 0.613 (P = .027)
net reclassification index
14.6% (P = .002)

Original publication

Socioeconomic deprivation and reclassification of ischemic stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation: A report from UK Biobank. Heart Rhythm. Published 7 April 2026. doi:10.1016/j.hrthm.2026.03.1964

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it