Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Stratifying prognosis in heart failure patients with reduced ejection fraction and atrial cardiomyopathy

ESC Heart FailPublished registry cohort

Authors' conclusion

High FIND-AF risk is associated with adverse prognosis in a cohort of patients with HFrEF and AtCM but without baseline AF. These exploratory data require external validation and a prospective study.

Study context

Population
Patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and atrial cardiomyopathy (AtCM) without AF at baseline, ECG-HF registry (2010–6)
Participants
164 patients
Exposure
High vs low FIND-AF risk
  • High-riskn = 32
  • Low-riskn = 132reference
Outcome
Composite of:
  • Incident AF
  • Ischaemic stroke
  • All-cause mortality
Follow-up
Followed until 31 December 2019
Methodological detailslinked to the territory-wide Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System
  • Linked to the territory-wide Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

high-risk vs low-riskEstimate (95% CI)P value
Composite of incident AF, ischaemic stroke, and all-cause mortality
OR 2.48(1.07–5.76)
P = 0.035
Model including both FIND-AF risk group and AtCM severity
adjusted OR 2.70(1.14–6.40)
P = 0.024

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Discrimination, FIND-AF vs CHA2DS2-VASc

Composite outcome AUC FIND-AF vs CHA2DS2-VASc
.735 vs .641; DeLong P = .007
Ischaemic stroke AUC FIND-AF vs CHA2DS2-VASc
.700 vs .575; DeLong P = .008

Original publication

Stratifying prognosis in heart failure patients with reduced ejection fraction and atrial cardiomyopathy. ESC Heart Fail. Published 21 May 2026. doi:10.1093/eschf/xvag144

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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