Arrhythmias & electrophysiologyMeta-analysis

Sudden cardiac death risk after myocardial infarction across the spectrum of left ventricular ejection fraction: a meta-analysis

HeartPublished

  • meta-analysis
  • random-effects model
  • PRISMA guidelines

Authors' conclusion

This is the first meta-analysis reviewing post-MI patients with LVEF 36-50%. These findings highlight a clinically relevant unmet need for patients who carry a substantial burden of SCD despite being outside current ICD eligibility criteria. Further study is needed to improve risk stratification within this population and determine whether suitable intervention is beneficial.

Study context

Population
Patients post-MI with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) 36–50% without additional risk stratification or interventionpatients in five included studies (7435 records identified)
Participants
9,345 participants
Comparison
Annual rate of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in patients with LVEF 36-50% post-MI vs LVEF≤35% and LVEF >50%

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Pooled annual rate of SCD

LVEF≤35% vs LVEF 36-50%: P = 0.03 · LVEF >50% vs LVEF 36-50%: P = 0.02

Further pooled results

Proportion of mortality due to SCD

Similar across all LVEF strata
P = 0.79

Between-study heterogeneity

I 2 for SCD
89.9%
I 2 for all-cause mortality
96.8%
  • Very high between-study heterogeneity

Primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) NNT for patients with LVEF 36-50% · 5-year device lifespan (extrapolation)

NNT
19
  • exploratory modelling
  • applying the MADIT-II ICD treatment effect (HR 0.33, 95% CI 0.20 to 0.53)

Original publication

Sudden cardiac death risk after myocardial infarction across the spectrum of left ventricular ejection fraction: a meta-analysis. Heart. Published 3 August 2026. doi:10.1136/heartjnl-2026-327792

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it