Coronary disease & ACSCohort study

Temporal trends in pretest probability and normal scan rates in myocardial perfusion imaging: a 24-year experience from a Swiss tertiary referral center (between 2000 and 2024)

Eur Heart J Cardiovasc ImagingPublished

  • retrospective study

Authors' conclusion

The rate of normal MPI results increased over time, but the trend was less pronounced than previously published. Possible explanations include referral of healthier patients (unchanged CACS despite increasing age), less typical angina, a lower prevalence of established CAD, and more female patients.

Study context

Population
Patients undergoing myocardial perfusion imaging at a large Swiss centreMyocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) scans analysed
Participants
45,686 patients
Exposure
Temporal trends in pre-test probability and MPI findings over time

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Normal MPI results · 2000 → 2024

Normal MPI results increased significantly over time, 2000

53%

Normal MPI results, 2024

66%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Small ischaemia (Summed Difference Score ≥2)

Small ischaemia decreased
37.6% → 34.2%
  • P < 0.001

Relevant ischaemia (≥10% ischaemia)

Relevant ischaemia increased slightly
11.0% → 13.2%
  • P < 0.001

SSS, SRS and SDS

SSS and SRS decreased significantly, whereas SDS remained unchanged

Coronary artery calcium score (CACS) and prevalence of zero CACS

CACS and the prevalence of zero CACS remained unchanged over time

Performance of ESC pre-test probability (PTP) models and RF-CL

ESC PTP models overestimated the prevalence of abnormal MPI and small ischaemia
Only RF-CL predicted relevant ischaemia correctly in very low-risk patients

Original publication

Temporal trends in pretest probability and normal scan rates in myocardial perfusion imaging: a 24-year experience from a Swiss tertiary referral center (between 2000 and 2024). Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Imaging. Published 17 March 2026. doi:10.1093/ehjci/jeag076

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it