Prevention & lipidsCohort study

The additive prognostic value of lipoprotein(a) for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality across the traditional cardiovascular risk continuum: analysis from NHANES III (1988–1994) with follow-up to 2019

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished

  • Retrospective cohort study
  • nationally representative
  • survey-weighted
  • multivariable Cox and Fine-Gray competing risk models

Authors' conclusion

Elevated Lp(a) levels (> 75 mg/dL) are associated with increased all-cause and CV mortality among individuals with high baseline traditional CV risk, as defined by the AHA's PREVENT score, independent of traditional risk factors.

Study context

Population
US adults, NHANES III (1988–1994), mortality follow-up through 2019survey-weighted
Participants
55,050,155 adults
Exposure
Lp levels, stratified by baseline cardiovascular (CV) risk
Outcome
All-cause and CV mortality
Follow-up
Mean 22.4 years (±7.07)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

All-cause and CV mortality, high baseline CV risk
Estimate (95% CI)
Lp(a) >75 mg/dLall-cause mortality, high-risk
HR 1.25(1.02–1.53)
Lp(a) >75 mg/dLCV mortality, high-risk
sHR 1.21(1.09–1.36)
Lp(a) 50-75 mg/dLall-cause mortality, high-risk; borderline
HR 1.16(1.00–1.34)
Lp(a) 50-75 mg/dLCV mortality, high-risk
sHR 1.06(0.98–1.15)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Prevalence of elevated Lp(a) (>50 mg/dL)

Overall
15%
High-risk
15%
Low-risk
11%

Original publication

The additive prognostic value of lipoprotein(a) for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality across the traditional cardiovascular risk continuum: analysis from NHANES III (1988–1994) with follow-up to 2019. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 14 January 2026. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwag037

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it