Coronary disease & ACSCohort study

The paradox of SMURF-less outcomes and its implication for diabetes

Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin OutcomesPublished

  • cohort analysis using inverse probability weighting

Authors' conclusion

Diabetes independently increases 30-day mortality risk in ACS. Aggregating it with other SMuRF masks this risk due to dilution bias, highlighting the need for individualized risk factor assessment strategies.

Study context

Population
First-time acute coronary syndromes (ACS) patients
Participants
70,953 first-time ACS patients
Exposure
Diabetic patients without other SMuRF compared with those without any SMuRF
Outcome
Mortality within 30 days post-ACS
Follow-up
30 days

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Diabetic patients without other SMuRF vs Without any SMuRFRelative risk (95% CI)
women
1.29(1.06–1.57)
men
1.40(1.16–1.69)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeRR (95% CI)
30-day mortality, diabetes combined with other SMuRF · 30 days — Diabetic patients who were also smokers vs Without any SMuRF · women1.39 (0.92–2.09)
30-day mortality, diabetes combined with other SMuRF · 30 days — Diabetic patients who were also smokers vs Without any SMuRF · men0.89 (0.68–1.17)
30-day mortality, diabetes combined with other SMuRF · 30 days — Diabetic patients with hypercholesterolaemia vs Without any SMuRF · women0.91 (0.66–1.25)
30-day mortality, diabetes combined with other SMuRF · 30 days — Diabetic patients with hypercholesterolaemia vs Without any SMuRF · men0.75 (0.53–1.06)
30-day mortality, diabetes combined with other SMuRF · 30 days — Diabetic patients with hypertension vs Without any SMuRF · women1.14 (0.99–1.32)
30-day mortality, diabetes combined with other SMuRF · 30 days — Diabetic patients with hypertension vs Without any SMuRF · men1.12 (0.96–1.31)

30-day mortality, diabetes combined with other SMuRF

When diabetes was combined with other SMuRF, its impact on mortality was diluted

Original publication

The paradox of SMURF-less outcomes and its implication for diabetes. Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin Outcomes. Published 28 January 2026. doi:10.1093/ehjqcco/qcag012

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it