Prevention & lipidsSecondary analysis

The potential benefit of statin prescription based on prediction of treatment responsiveness in older individuals: an application to the PROSPER randomized controlled trial

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished

  • Secondary analysis of the PROSPER randomised trial
  • derivation and internal-external validation of a treatment-responsiveness prediction model

Authors' conclusion

Pravastatin prescription based on predicted responsiveness may have an encouraging potential for cardiovascular prevention.

Study context

Population
Individuals aged 70–82 years with a history of, or risk factors for, vascular diseases
Participants
2,913 / 2,891 / 2,925 / 2,890
Comparison
Three pravastatin prescription strategies vs placebo
  • Placebon = 2,913reference
  • Pravastatin to alln = 2,891
  • Elevated vascular riskn = 2,925
  • Favourable prediction of treatment responsen = 2,890
Primary endpoint
Coronary death, non-fatal MI, and fatal or non-fatal stroke

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

Coronary death, non-fatal MI, or fatal or non-fatal stroke, per 10 000 person-years
Each group vs placeboAbsolute difference, events per 10 000 person-years (95% CI)
Pravastatin to all
−78(−144 to −12)
Elevated vascular risk
−66(−114 to −18)
Favourable prediction of treatment response
−103(−162 to −44)

Original publication

The potential benefit of statin prescription based on prediction of treatment responsiveness in older individuals: an application to the PROSPER randomized controlled trial. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 12 December 2023. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwad383

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it