Prevention & lipidsCohort study

Thirty-Year Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Among Healthy Women According to Clinical Thresholds of Lipoprotein(a)

JAMA CardiolPublished

  • Prospective cohort study
  • Women's Health Study
  • hypothesis formulated after data collection

Authors' conclusion

Per the results of this cohort study, very high lipoprotein(a) levels correlated with increased 30-year risk of cardiovascular disease among healthy women.

Study context

Population
Healthy female health professionals without CVD, cancer or other major chronic illness at baseline, Women's Health Study, 1993–202323,279 with rs3,798,220 genotype
Participants
27,748 professionals
Exposure
Lipoprotein(a) clinical thresholds and percentiles; LPA rs3798220 minor allele carriers vs non-carriers
Outcome
Incident major CV events, CHD, ischemic stroke and CV death
Follow-up
30 years

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Multivariable-adjusted HRs by lipoprotein(a) threshold · median follow-up 27.8 years
Hazard ratio (95% CI)
>120 mg/dL vs <10 mg/dLmajor CV events
1.54(1.24–1.92)
>99th percentile vs <50th percentilemajor CV events
1.74(1.35–2.25)
>120 mg/dL vs <10 mg/dLCHD
1.80(1.36–2.37)
>99th percentile vs <50th percentileCHD
2.06(1.49–2.84)
>120 mg/dL vs <10 mg/dLischemic stroke
1.41(0.93–2.15)
>99th percentile vs <50th percentileischemic stroke
1.85(1.17–2.93)
>120 mg/dL vs <10 mg/dLCV death
1.63(1.16–2.28)
>99th percentile vs <50th percentileCV death
1.86(1.26–2.72)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Major CV events by LPA rs3798220 genotype (European ancestry)

rs3798220 minor allele carriers had a higher risk of major CV events
  • 3165 major CV events among 23 279 women with genotype information

Original publication

Thirty-Year Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Among Healthy Women According to Clinical Thresholds of Lipoprotein(a). JAMA Cardiol. Published 1 February 2026. doi:10.1001/jamacardio.2025.5043

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it