Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Unsupervised Machine Learning to Identify Subphenotypes Among Cardiac Intensive Care Unit Patients with Heart Failure

ESC Heart FailPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Unsupervised machine learning clustering can identify multiple distinct clinical HF phenotypes within the CICU population that display differing mortality profiles both in-hospital and at 1 year. Mortality was lowest for the uncomplicated HF phenotype and highest for the hypoperfused phenotype.

Study context

Population
Mayo Clinic cardiac ICU patients with an admission diagnosis of heart failure (HF), 2007–2018, with complete admission laboratory data6,008 screened
Participants
4,877 patients
Exposure
HF phenotypes identified by clustering of admission laboratory values
Outcome
In-hospital mortality
Methodological detailsunsupervised machine learning (consensus k-means clustering), single-centre
  • Unsupervised machine learning (consensus k-means clustering)
  • Single-centre

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Each group vs uncomplicatedAdjusted odds ratio (CI)P value
Iron-deficient
2.18(1.38–3.48)
P < 0.001
Cardiorenal
2.11(1.37–3.32)
P < 0.001
Inflamed
1.79(1.18–2.76)
P = 0.007
Hypoperfused
4.32(2.89–6.62)
P < 0.001
Overall in-hospital mortality
10.7%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeValuesAdjusted HR (CI)P value
1-year mortalityInflamedvs UncomplicatedMultivariable-adjusted Cox modelsUncomplicated 11.9% · Inflamed 26.8% · Iron-deficient 33.8% · Cardiorenal 41.2% · Hypoperfused 52.3%1.56 (1.27–1.92)P < 0.001
1-year mortalityIron-deficientvs UncomplicatedMultivariable-adjusted Cox models2.47 (2.00–3.04)P < 0.001
1-year mortalityCardiorenalvs UncomplicatedMultivariable-adjusted Cox models2.41 (1.97–2.95)P < 0.001
1-year mortalityHypoperfusedvs UncomplicatedMultivariable-adjusted Cox models3.43 (2.82–4.18)P < 0.001
1-year mortality — Overall 1-year mortality
31.5%

1-year mortality

Similar findings for post-discharge 1-year mortality

Original publication

Unsupervised Machine Learning to Identify Subphenotypes Among Cardiac Intensive Care Unit Patients with Heart Failure. ESC Heart Fail. Published 19 August 2024. doi:10.1002/ehf2.15027

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