Pulmonary vascular disease & thromboembolism

Acute pulmonary embolism: a multimarker calculator to predict short-term outcomes

Eur Heart JPublished Prognostic validation study

Authors' conclusion

In stable patients with acute PE, the use of a multimarker calculator substantially improved the risk stratification for mortality beyond that of the ESC model.

Study context

Population
Haemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE)
Participants
60,042 patients
Comparison
Multimarker calculator vs European Society of Cardiology (ESC) model
Outcome
All-cause mortality
Follow-up
30 days
Methodological detailsretrospective registry cohort, RIETE registry
  • Retrospective registry cohort
  • RIETE registry

Performance

As reported in the abstract

C-statistic for 30-day mortality
Test or modelC-statistic (whole cohort)
Multimarker calculator0.79
ESC model0.56

C-statistic (whole cohort)

Multimarker calculator0.79
ESC model0.56
  • Multimarker calculator vs ESC model: P < 0.001 — whole cohort: 0.79 vs. 0.56

Further findings

PPV for mortality, intermediate-high risk PE (calculator risk >10%) · 15.7% vs. 5.0%

P < 0.001

PPV

OutcomeMultimarker calculatorESC modelP value
C-statistic, subgroup with RV function/size and troponin data (n = 16 648)0.78 vs. 0.66P < 0.001
C-statistic0.780.66
C-statistic after imputation of missing data0.79 vs. 0.66P < 0.001
C-statistic0.790.66

Original publication

Acute pulmonary embolism: a multimarker calculator to predict short-term outcomes. Eur Heart J. Published 20 May 2025. doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehaf228

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