Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Aetiology, ejection fraction and mortality in chronic heart failure: a mediation analysis

HeartPublished Cohort study with causal mediation analysis

Authors' conclusion

The direct effect of aetiology on mortality dominates the indirect effect through LVEF.

Study context

Population
Austrian patients with chronic HF (mean age 57.2 years; mean follow-up 8.8 years)
Participants
2,056 patients
Exposure
Each aetiology vs other aetiologies
  • DCMn = 1,009
  • HCMn = 89
  • IHDn = 529
  • HHDn = 320
  • Cardiac amyloidosis (CA)n = 109
Outcome
Overall mortality: total effect of aetiology decomposed into direct and indirect (mediated through LVEF) effects
Follow-up
Mean 8.8 years
Methodological detailsmultivariable-adjusted
  • Multivariable-adjusted

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Overall mortality, total effect vs respective other aetiologies
Hazard ratio (95% CI)
DCMvs other aetiologiestotal effect
0.77(0.67–0.89)
HCMvs other aetiologiestotal effect
0.47(0.25–0.88)
IHDvs other aetiologiestotal effect
1.40(1.21–1.62)
HHDvs other aetiologiestotal effect
0.79(0.67–0.95)
CAvs other aetiologiestotal effect
2.36(1.81–3.08)
CAvs other aetiologiesindirect effect (via LVEF)
0.74(0.65–0.83)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHR (95% CI)
Effect of LVEF on mortality (per 5%-points lower LVEF), across aetiologiesSimilar across aetiologies1.07 (1.04–1.10)
  • Effect of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) on mortality (per 5%-points lower LVEF), across aetiologies: interaction P=0.718

LVEF by aetiology

HCM and CA significantly higher, IHD and DCM significantly lower LVEF vs other aetiologies

Original publication

Aetiology, ejection fraction and mortality in chronic heart failure: a mediation analysis. Heart. Published 18 September 2023. doi:10.1136/heartjnl-2023-322803

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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