Prevention & lipids

Age-Specific Associations Between Adiposity and Mortality in U.S. Adults, 1999-2018

JACC AdvPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Age significantly modifies the relationship between adiposity and mortality. Younger adults experience greater mortality risks from both obesity and underweight

Study context

Population
US adults aged 18 to 79 years, NHANES 1999–20185,019 deaths (1,186 CV)
Participants
44,041 adults
Exposure
Adiposity–mortality associations by age group
Outcome
Interaction between age and adiposity (BMI, waist circumference, weight, waist-to-height ratio) on all-cause and CV mortality
Follow-up
Median 10.1 years
Methodological detailsnationally representative sample, NHANES 1999-2018 linked to mortality data
  • Nationally representative sample
  • NHANES 1999-2018 linked to mortality data

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

CV mortality per 1-SD increase in BMI, by age
Per 1-SD increase in BMI
Hazard ratio (95% CI)
18 to 49 years
1.49(1.27–1.77)
70 to 79 years
1.15(0.99–1.32)

Per 1-SD increase in BMI, as printed

Significant interactions between age and all 4 adiposity measures
P < 0.05

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

CV mortality with class 3 obesity (younger adults)

HR (95% CI)
Class 3 obesityYounger adults4.37 (2.01–9.50)

All-cause mortality with underweight status (younger individuals)

HR (95% CI)
UnderweightParticularly among younger individuals2.04 (1.24–3.36)

Original publication

Age-Specific Associations Between Adiposity and Mortality in U.S. Adults, 1999-2018. JACC Adv. Published 7 November 2025. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2025.102234

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