Prevention & lipids

Lead-Attributable Cardiovascular Disease Burden: Global Burden of Disease Study 2023

JAMAPublished Cohort study combined with systematic review and bayesian meta-regression (Burden of Proof) and burden estimation

Authors' conclusion

Cumulative lead exposure remains a major, preventable contributor to global CVD mortality.

Study context

Population
US adults (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES)); global, regional and national populations 1990–20231,748 cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths
Participants
42,028 adults
Comparison
Estimated bone lead levels vs preindustrial level
Outcome
Lead-attributable CVD mortality, years lived with disability, years of life lost and DALYs by age, sex, year and location
Methodological detailsUS NHANES, 9 cycles 1988–2013, follow-up through December 2015, Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for BP and confounders, Bone lead estimated from blood lead, age and cohort-specific exposure histories
  • US NHANES, 9 cycles 1988–2013
  • Follow-up through December 2015
  • Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for BP and confounders
  • Bone lead estimated from blood lead, age and cohort-specific exposure histories

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Greater CVD mortality risk vs preindustrial bone lead
Lead-attributable deaths globally, 2023
3.5 million (95% UI, 2.6 million to 4.4 million)
Lead-attributable disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) globally, 2023
71.6 million (95% UI, 52.4 million to 90.3 million)
Share of all deaths
5.8% (95% UI, 4.3%-7.2%)
Share of all DALYs
2.6% (95% UI, 1.8%-3.2%)

Further pooled results

NHANES estimated bone lead levels

Range
0.17 μg/g to 301 μg/g
Median
13.3 μg/g

Original publication

Lead-Attributable Cardiovascular Disease Burden: Global Burden of Disease Study 2023. JAMA. Published 28 April 2026. doi:10.1001/jama.2026.2197

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

Get them every week

New studies on this topic in My Week and in your Monday e-mail.

We e-mail you a sign-in link and a code. No password, no spam.