Valvular & structural heart disease

Atrial Fibrillation in Valvular Heart Disease: Assessing the Impact of Genetics in the UK Biobank

JACC AdvPublished prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

In VHD, AF PRS predicts AF risk, but the genetic impact differs by subtype. AV disease shows minimal genetic contribution, suggesting predominantly hemodynamic risk, while MV disease-particularly MVP-shows substantial genetic influence.

Study context

Population
UK Biobank participants with available atrial fibrillation (AF) polygenic risk score, with valvular heart disease subtypesparticipants with available polygenic risk score (PRS) · MVP 385 · mitral regurgitation 1,058 · mitral stenosis 81 · aortic regurgitation 421 · aortic stenosis 509
Participants
452,841 participants
Exposure
AF PRS categories and incident AF across valvular heart disease (VHD) subtypes
Outcome
Incident AF in MV disease

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Hazard ratio

1.7

P = 0.03

intermediate PRS

Hazard ratio

2.3

P = 0.002

high PRS

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHRP value
Incident AF in MVPStrongest effect3.1P = 0.03

Incident AF in aortic valve (AV) disease

PRS not significantly associated with AF risk, intermediate PRS
P = 0.93
PRS not significantly associated with AF risk, high PRS
P = 0.07

Interaction analyses

Attenuation or absence of PRS effect in AV disease, intermediate PRS
P = 0.04
Attenuation or absence of PRS effect in AV disease, high PRS
P = 0.004
No significant interaction in mitral valve (MV) disease, intermediate PRS
P = 0.80
No significant interaction in MV disease, high PRS
P = 0.11

Original publication

Atrial Fibrillation in Valvular Heart Disease: Assessing the Impact of Genetics in the UK Biobank. JACC Adv. Published 20 October 2026. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2026.103355

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

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