Cardiometabolic & kidneyCohort study

Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome and Life Expectancy in U.S. Adults

JACC AdvPublished

  • Cohort study using life table methods
  • National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999 to 2018

Authors' conclusion

Advanced CKM syndrome (stage 3/4) confers marked life expectancy reductions, particularly among Mexican Americans, underscoring the urgent need for early detection and targeted interventions.

Study context

Population
U.S. adults aged ≥30 years with confirmed cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome3,956 deaths over a median 9.33-year follow-up
Participants
20,764 adults
Exposure
Life expectancy across CKM stages 0 to 4

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Deaths · median 9.33-year follow-up

deaths

3,956

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Estimated 40-year life expectancy

Cardiovascular mortality

ComparisonAdjusted HR
stage 2 · increased cardiovascular mortality4.00 (95% CI 1.40–11.47)
stage 3/4 · increased cardiovascular mortality11.03 (CI 3.67–33.16)
OutcomeLife expectancy advantage, years
Life expectancy at age 40, stage 0 vs stage 3/4, by sex · men; advantage with stage 0 over stage 3/45.80 (95% CI 5.74–5.86)
Life expectancy at age 40, stage 0 vs stage 3/4, by sex · women; advantage with stage 0 over stage 3/47.39 (CI 7.31–7.48)

Reduction in 40-year life expectancy by race/ethnicity

years

Mexican Americans (greatest reduction)
12.72
White
6.55
Black
5.93

Original publication

Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome and Life Expectancy in U.S. Adults. JACC Adv. Published 19 March 2026. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2026.102664

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it