Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Catheter ablation of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation and disease progression: Magnitude of the antiprogression effect and role of intervention timing

Heart RhythmPublished Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised trials

Pooled result · Progression to persistent AFResult — go to the resultRisk ratio 0.15 95% CI 0.08–0.28

Authors' conclusion

The risk of progression to persistent AF at 3 years appears to be reduced by almost 7-fold in patients with paroxysmal AF treated using catheter ablation compared with patients treated using AAD therapy, regardless of the timing of the intervention.

Study context

Population
Patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF)5 randomized controlled trials (RCTs)
Comparison
Catheter ablation vs AAD therapy
Outcome
Progression to persistent AF
Follow-up
3 years

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Risk ratio

0.15

95% CI 0.08–0.28

P < 0.001

By group

Catheter ablationvs AAD
risk ratio 0.15 (95% CI 0.08–0.28); P < 0.001

Further pooled results

OutcomeRR (95% CI)
Progression to persistent AF, by intervention timing (subgroup) · 3 yearsCatheter ablationvs AADFirst-line0.19 (0.07–0.48)
Progression to persistent AF, by intervention timing (subgroup) · 3 yearsCatheter ablationvs AADNon-first-line0.13 (0.05–0.29)
  • Progression to persistent AF, by intervention timing (subgroup): Pinteraction = .551

Progression to persistent AF, overall pooled rate · 3 years

Pooled rate of progression to persistent AF
8.3% (95% CI 5.4-11.2, I2 = 67.2%)

Original publication

Catheter ablation of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation and disease progression: Magnitude of the antiprogression effect and role of intervention timing. Heart Rhythm. Published 19 December 2024. doi:10.1016/j.hrthm.2024.12.026

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