Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Clinical utility of the 4S-AF scheme in predicting progression of atrial fibrillation: data from the RACE V study

EuropacePublished Secondary analysis of the RACE V study

Authors' conclusion

In self-terminating AF patients, the 4S-AF scheme does not predict AF progression. The 3S-AF scheme, excluding the symptom domain, may be a more appropriate score to predict AF progression.

Study context

Population
Patients with self-terminating atrial fibrillation (AF)
Participants
341 patients
Comparison
4S-AF scheme vs 3S-AF scheme for predicting AF progression
Primary endpoint
AF progression (to persistent or permanent AF, or self-terminating AF with >3% burden increase)
Follow-up
Median 2.1 (1.5-2.6) years
Methodological detailscontinuous monitoring with implantable loop recorders or pacemakers
  • Continuous monitoring with implantable loop recorders or pacemakers

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of AF progression
GroupORC-statistic
4S-AF1.1 (95% CI 0.88-1.41)0.53
3S-AF1.59 (95% CI 1.15-2.27)0.62

OR

4S-AF1.1 (95% CI 0.88-1.41)
3S-AF1.59 (95% CI 1.15-2.27)

C-statistic

4S-AF0.53
3S-AF0.62

Further findings

Mean 4S-AF score
4.6 · average · SD 1.4

AF progression incidence

Progression of AF
42 patients (12.3%, 5.9% per year)

Original publication

Clinical utility of the 4S-AF scheme in predicting progression of atrial fibrillation: data from the RACE V study. Europace. Published 1 March 2023. doi:10.1093/europace/euac268

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