Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Cognitive impairment and incident atrial fibrillation in individuals without stroke: evidence from two prospective cohort studies and Mendelian randomization analysis

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished Prospective cohort study with Mendelian randomization analysis

Main finding · Incident AF (Kailuan)Result — go to the resultAdjusted hazard ratio 2.32 95% CI 1.21–4.45

Authors' conclusion

Cognitive impairment independently predicts incident AF in stroke-free individuals.

Study context

Population
Adults aged ≥45 years free of stroke, atrial fibrillation (AF), other CVD or cancer at baseline (Kailuan study and UK Biobank)
Exposure
Cognitive impairment vs normal cognition
Outcome
Incident AF
Methodological detailstwo prospective cohorts (Kailuan, UK Biobank)
  • Two prospective cohorts (Kailuan, UK Biobank)

Main finding

Incident AF (Kailuan)

Adjusted hazard ratio

2.32

95% CI 1.21–4.45

Cognitive impairmentvs Normal cognition
aHR 2.32 (95% CI 1.21–4.45)

As reported in the abstract

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Incident AF by domain-specific cognition (UK Biobank)

aHR (95% CI)
Poorer reasoning1.21 (1.03–1.43)
Poorer processing speed1.23 (1.03–1.47)
Associations remained robust after excluding incident stroke cases

Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis

Genetically predicted better reasoning ability associated with lower risk of new-onset AF

Original publication

Cognitive impairment and incident atrial fibrillation in individuals without stroke: evidence from two prospective cohort studies and Mendelian randomization analysis. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 7 July 2026. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwag334

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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