Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Comparative Bleeding Risk in Older Patients With HIV and Atrial Fibrillation Receiving Oral Anticoagulants

JAMA Intern MedPublished new-user, active-comparator, propensity score overlap-weighted cohort study using the target trial emulation framework

Authors' conclusion

This study found that in patients with HIV and AF, especially those treated with ART, warfarin and rivaroxaban were associated with higher rates of major bleeding compared with apixaban, suggesting a superior safety profile for apixaban in this high-risk population.

Study context

Population
New initiators of oral anticoagulants aged 50 years or older with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) and HIVthree pairwise comparison cohorts · warfarin vs apixaban cohort 2,683 · rivaroxaban vs apixaban cohort 2,176 · rivaroxaban vs warfarin cohort 1,787
Exposure
Warfarin vs apixaban, rivaroxaban vs apixaban, and rivaroxaban vs warfarin
Outcome
hospitalization for major bleeding
Methodological detailsMedicare claims database data (January 1, 2013, to December 31, 2020)
  • Medicare claims database data (January 1, 2013, to December 31, 2020)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Each group vs apixabanHazard ratio (95% CI)
Warfarinafter propensity score overlap weighting
2.60(1.51–4.49)
Warfarinpatients taking concurrent ART (71% of patients)
6.68(2.78–16.02)
Rivaroxaban
2.15(1.18–3.94)
Rivaroxabanthose using ART
4.83(2.11–11.08)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Secondary outcomes

OutcomeHR (95% CI)
Gastrointestinal bleedingWarfarinvs apixabanMajor gastrointestinal bleeding2.99 (1.52–5.90)
Gastrointestinal bleedingWarfarinvs apixabanPatients taking concurrent ART5.28 (2.08–13.42)
Gastrointestinal bleedingRivaroxabanvs apixaban3.38 (1.57–7.25)
Gastrointestinal bleedingRivaroxabanvs apixabanThose using ART4.76 (1.78–12.70)

Ischemic stroke and mortality

No significant difference was observed in the rate of ischemic stroke or mortality among the 3 oral anticoagulants

Original publication

Comparative Bleeding Risk in Older Patients With HIV and Atrial Fibrillation Receiving Oral Anticoagulants. JAMA Intern Med. Published 1 April 2025. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2024.8335

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