Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Comparing Claims Data to Stroke and Bleeding in the NCDR Left Atrial Appendage Occlusion Registry

JACC AdvPublished Registry data linked to Medicare claims

Authors' conclusion

In the LAAO Registry, International Classification of Diseases-Tenth Revision codes have moderate agreement with stroke, GIB, and intracranial hemorrhage, and overestimate most event rates compared to adjudicated registry-reported events. Nonclaims-based methods are needed to ensure accurate assessment of clinical events in postmarketing surveillance.

Study context

Population
Patients aged ≥65 years in the National Cardiovascular Data Registry Left Atrial Appendage Occlusion (LAAO) Registry
Participants
71,043 LAAO Registry patients
Exposure
Primary diagnosis International Classification of Diseases-Tenth Revision codes from inpatient hospitalizations were compared to adjudicated registry-reported stroke and major bleeding events after discharge
Outcome
Ischemic stroke: claims vs registry-reported events
Methodological detailsadjudicated registry-reported events, 2016 to 2021 Medicare claims
  • Adjudicated registry-reported events
  • 2016 to 2021 Medicare claims

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

GroupSensitivityPositive predictive valueKappa
Claims60.8%50.5%0.55

Claims

Sensitivity60.8%
Positive predictive value50.5%
Kappa0.55

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeClaimsRegistryIncidence rate
Hemorrhagic stroke: claims vs registry-reported events
Sensitivity42.7%— not stated in the abstract
Positive predictive value50.5%— not stated in the abstract
Kappa0.46— not stated in the abstract
Gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB): claims vs registry-reported events
Sensitivity55.9%— not stated in the abstract
Positive predictive value40.3%— not stated in the abstract
Kappa0.43— not stated in the abstract
Intracranial hemorrhage: claims vs registry-reported events
Sensitivity62.2%— not stated in the abstract
Positive predictive value38.0%— not stated in the abstract
Kappa0.47— not stated in the abstract
Other major bleeding: claims vs registry-reported events
Sensitivity20.4%— not stated in the abstract
Positive predictive value10.0%— not stated in the abstract
Kappa0.12— not stated in the abstract
Ischemic stroke incidence · Two-yearHigher in claimsincidence rate 2.5%2.2%
GIB incidence · Two-yearHigher in claimsincidence rate 6.8%5.2%
Intracranial hemorrhage incidence · Two-yearHigher in claimsincidence rate 1.6%1.1%
Other bleeding incidence · Two-yearHigher in claimsincidence rate 3.1%1.5%
Hemorrhagic stroke incidence · Two-yearLower in claimsincidence rate 0.4%0.5%

— not stated in the abstract

  • Ischemic stroke incidence: P < 0.01 for all events
  • Gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) incidence: P < 0.01 for all events
  • Intracranial hemorrhage incidence: P < 0.01 for all events
  • Other bleeding incidence: P < 0.01 for all events
  • Hemorrhagic stroke incidence: P = 0.03

Sensitivity and negative predictive values, all events

Sensitivity and negative predictive values for all events
>92%

Original publication

Comparing Claims Data to Stroke and Bleeding in the NCDR Left Atrial Appendage Occlusion Registry. JACC Adv. Published 24 July 2025. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2025.102019

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