Valvular & structural heart disease

CT-Based Deep Learning Assessment of Aortic Valve Fibrosis and Calcification: Development and Multicenter External Validation Against Experts, Histology, and Outcomes

JACC Cardiovasc ImagingPublished international, multicenter study

Authors' conclusion

Deep learning enables rapid quantification of aortic valve fibrotic and calcific tissue from CTA, demonstrating excellent agreement with both expert CTA and histological assessments. Quantitative analysis of aortic tissue composition provides additional prognostic value for all-cause mortality after transcatheter aortic valve replacement in multicenter external evaluation.

Study context

Population
Patients who underwent computed tomography angiography (CTA), including patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement for severe aortic stenosispatients who underwent CTA at 9 sites · training 468 · external test set 1,206 · with valve histology 29 · with serial CTA 12 · with clinical outcomes 1,165
Participants
1,674 patients
Outcome
Analysis time
Methodological details9 sites, external test set
  • 9 sites
  • External test set

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Deep learning

1.35 ± 0.4 min

Experts

7.2 ± 1.2 min

Further findings

Independent predictors of mortality

EstimateP value
Fibrotic tissue volumeaHR 1.42 per IQR increaseP < 0.001
Calcific tissue attenuationaHR 1.02 per 25 HU increaseP = 0.005
Left ventricular ejection fractionaHR 1.10 per 5% decreaseP < 0.001
Life-threatening bleedingaHR 1.96P = 0.003
Major vascular complicationaHR 1.51P = 0.042
Postprocedural peak pressure gradientaHR 1.03 per 1 mm Hg increaseP < 0.001
OutcomeaHRP value
Risk of death by fibrotic tissue volume and calcific tissue attenuation2-fold higher risk of death; comparator not stated2.0P < 0.001
Risk of death by fibrotic tissue volume and calcific tissue attenuation — Dense calcific tissue attenuation (>885 HU): risk of death
1.5-fold higher
  • Independent predictors of mortality: adjusting for clinical, echocardiographic, and procedural covariates

Agreement of deep learning tissue composition analysis

vs expert assessment r
0.915
vs expert assessment ICC
0.913
vs histology r
0.909
vs histology ICC
0.905
Scan-rescan reproducibility r
0.999
Scan-rescan reproducibility ICC
0.999

Mortality in the external cohort · 4.1 ± 1.1 years of follow-up

Patients who died
469 patients (40%)

Original publication

CT-Based Deep Learning Assessment of Aortic Valve Fibrosis and Calcification: Development and Multicenter External Validation Against Experts, Histology, and Outcomes. JACC Cardiovasc Imaging. Published 4 November 2026. doi:10.1016/j.jcmg.2026.08.019

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