Development and validation of cardiovascular risk prediction equations in 76 000 people with known cardiovascular disease
Authors' conclusion
Robust cardiovascular risk prediction equations were developed from linked routine health databases, a currently underutilized resource worldwide.
Study context
- Population
- People aged 18–84 years with known cardiovascular disease (CVD), living in Auckland and Northland, Aotearoa New Zealand, on 1 January 2014
- Participants
- 43,862 vs 32,724
- Comparison
- Men vs Women
- Menn = 43,862
- Womenn = 32,724
- Outcome
- Death or hospitalization due to ischaemic heart disease, stroke, HF or peripheral vascular disease
- Follow-up
- 5 years
Methodological detailslinked administrative health databases cohort, sex-specific equations, multivariable Fine and Gray models, Follow-up until study outcome, death, or 5 years
- Linked administrative health databases cohort
- Sex-specific equations
- Multivariable Fine and Gray models
- Follow-up until study outcome, death, or 5 years
Performance
As reported in the abstract
CV events and predicted 5-year CV risk
Predicted 5-year CV risk <15%
Predicted 5-year CV risk ≥40%
Original publication
Development and validation of cardiovascular risk prediction equations in 76 000 people with known cardiovascular disease. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 28 September 2023. doi:10.
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