Valvular & structural heart disease

Early predictors of aortic valve surgery in patients with significant bicuspid aortic regurgitation without initial surgical indication

HeartPublished single-centre registry

Authors' conclusion

In patients with significant bicuspid AR who do not initially meet indications for AV surgery, increased LV mass index, impaired LA reservoir strain and concomitant moderate AS are early predictors of surgical progression. These parameters may enhance surveillance strategies and inform earlier surgical referral in selected patients.

Study context

Population
Patients with bicuspid aortic valve (AV) and moderate or severe aortic regurgitation (AR) who did not initially meet the surgical criteria, excluding those with severe aortic stenosis (AS), endocarditis or other major valvular diseasesincluded in the final analysis (mean age 52±14.0 years, 80% male), of 335 patients with moderate or severe AR from a registry of 1927 patients with bicuspid AV
Participants
199 patients
Outcome
Progression to AV surgery
Follow-up
Mean 4.9 years
Methodological detailsmultivariable Cox regression, speckle-tracking-derived strain measurements
  • Multivariable Cox regression
  • Speckle-tracking-derived strain measurements

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Independent predictor of future surgery, multivariable Cox regression
Hazard ratio (95% CI)P value
LV mass index ≥113 g/m²
4.49(1.74–11.6)
P = 0.002
LA reservoir strain <28%
3.07(1.40–6.74)
P = 0.005
Concomitant moderate AS
3.19(1.40–7.28)
P = 0.006
Patients who underwent AV surgery, primarily for symptom onset or left ventricular (LV) enlargement
41 patients (21%)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Early predictors of aortic valve surgery in patients with significant bicuspid aortic regurgitation without initial surgical indication. Heart. Published 20 June 2025. doi:10.1136/heartjnl-2025-325892

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