Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Electrocardiogram (ECG)-only explainable deep learning algorithm predicts the risk for malignant ventricular arrhythmia in phospholamban cardiomyopathy

Heart RhythmPublished Prognostic model development study

Authors' conclusion

Our deep learning-based algorithm based on ECG data only accurately predicts the occurrence of MVA in PLN p.(Arg14del) carriers, enabling more efficient stratification of patients who need additional diagnostic testing and follow-up.

Study context

Population
Phospholamban (PLN) p.(Arg14del) variant carriers without malignant ventricular arrhythmia (MVA) at baseline
Participants
679 participants
Comparison
ECG-only deep learning model vs current multimodality prediction model vs conventional ECG parameter model
Outcome
Prediction of malignant ventricular arrhythmia (MVA)
Methodological detailsexplainable deep learning, variational auto-encoder trained on 1.1 million ECGs, Cox regression
  • Explainable deep learning
  • Variational auto-encoder trained on 1.1 million ECGs
  • Cox regression

Performance

As reported in the abstract

MVA prediction (C statistic)

FactorECG model

0.79

C statistic · 95% CI 0.76–0.83

Current prediction model

0.83

C statistic · 95% CI 0.79–0.88

Conventional ECG model

0.65

C statistic · 95% CI 0.58–0.73

FactorECG model vs Current prediction model: P = 0.054 · FactorECG model vs Conventional ECG model: P < 0.001

Further findings

Clinical simulation: 2-step approach (ECG-only screening, then full workup)

Less additional diagnostics
60%
Outperformed the multimodal prediction model in all patients

Original publication

ECG-only explainable deep learning algorithm predicts the risk for malignant ventricular arrhythmia in phospholamban cardiomyopathy. Heart Rhythm. Published 23 February 2024. doi:10.1016/j.hrthm.2024.02.038

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