Future burden of myocardial infarction in Australia: impact on health outcomes between 2019 and 2038
Authors' conclusion
The burden of MI was projected to increase between 2019 and 2038 in Australia.
Study context
- Population
- Australian population aged 40–100 years
- Outcome
- Lifetime risk of MI and projected health burden of MI
- Follow-up
- 2019-2038
Methodological detailsmultistate lifetable model, 20-year projection (2019-2038), Data primarily from the Victorian-linked dataset, supplemented with other national data
- Multistate lifetable model
- 20-year projection (2019-2038)
- Data primarily from the Victorian-linked dataset, supplemented with other national data
Main finding
As reported in the abstract
Lifetime risk of MI at age 40 (2018); projected MI burden 2019–2038
- Lifetime risk of myocardial infarction (MI) at age 40, males (2018)
- 24.4%
- Lifetime risk of MI at age 40, females (2018)
- 13.2%
- Australians projected to develop incident MI, 2019–2038
- 891 142
- Prevalent MI by 2038 (rise vs 2019: 27.0%, 148 827)
- 702 226
- Incident non-fatal MI in 2038 (rise vs 2019: 62.0%, 19 629)
- 51 262
- Incident fatal MI in 2038 (rise vs 2019: 104.7%, 1901)
- 3717
Further findings
Projected years of life lived (5% discount) · 2019-2038
- Australian population total (84 356 304 males, 90 438 928 females)
- 174 795 232
- People with MI (4 997 009 males, 2 660 414 females)
- 7 657 423
- 5% discount
Original publication
Future burden of myocardial infarction in Australia: impact on health outcomes between 2019 and 2038. Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin Outcomes. Published 18 October 2023. doi:10.
Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →