Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Health economic evaluation of nation-wide screening programmes for atrial fibrillation in the Netherlands

Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin OutcomesPublished Health economic evaluation

Authors' conclusion

Most single-time point AF screening strategies are cost-saving and have an important impact on stroke prevention.

Study context

Population
Netherlands; model inputs from ARISTOTLE, RE-LY and ROCKET atrial fibrillation (AF) trials and Dutch observational dataper 100,000 people screened
Comparison
AF screening programmes vs no screening
Outcome
Impact and cost-effectiveness of AF screening programmes
Methodological detailsMarkov model cost-effectiveness analysis, societal perspective, univariate, probabilistic sensitivity and scenario analyses
  • Markov model cost-effectiveness analysis
  • Societal perspective
  • Univariate, probabilistic sensitivity and scenario analyses

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Gain in QALYs per 100 000 screened, by strategy

984 to 8727

Mean cost difference per 100 000 screened, by strategy

−6650 000€ to 898 000€

Likelihood screening all patients ≥75 years at geriatric outpatient clinic was cost-saving (probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA))

100%

Strategies cost-saving in ≥74% of PSA simulations

4 of 6

Further findings

Newly detected AF patients in the Netherlands (maximum), by strategy

Maximum newly detected AF patients
4554 to 39 270

Strokes prevented with adequate anticoagulation (single-time point screening)

Maximum strokes prevented
>3000
Opportunistic screening of all patients ≥65 years at GP office had the highest impact on strokes prevented among cost-saving strategies

Original publication

Health economic evaluation of nation-wide screening programmes for atrial fibrillation in the Netherlands. Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin Outcomes. Published 26 July 2022. doi:10.1093/ehjqcco/qcac042

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