Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Hypocapnia is an Independent Predictor of in-Hospital Mortality in Acute Heart Failure

ESC Heart FailPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Hypocapnia is an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality for AHF.

Study context

Population
Patients treated in the coronary care unit for acute HFmatched cohort 264 per group
Participants
676 patients
Exposure
Hypocapnia vs no hypocapnia on admission
Outcome
In-hospital all-cause mortality
Methodological detailspropensity-score matched
  • Propensity-score matched

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Before PSM

P < 0.001

After PSM

P < 0.001

Hypocapnia as independent predictor of mortality, multivariate Cox, before propensity score matching (PSM): HR 2.22 (95% CI 1.23-3.98)
P = 0.008
Hypocapnia as independent predictor of mortality, multivariate Cox, after PSM: HR 2.19 (95% CI 1.18-4.07)
P = 0.013
Higher probability of in-hospital death with hypocapnia before and after PSM (Kaplan-Meier, log-rank)
both P < 0.001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Hypocapnia in non-survivors vs survivors

P < 0.001

OutcomeAUC (95% CI)P value
AUC of mortality model with vs without hypocapniavs 0.855 (95% CI 0.820-0.886); Delong's test0.872 (0.839–0.901)P = 0.028
Hypocapnia in non-survivors vs survivors — In-hospital deaths
98 (14.5%)
  • Hypocapnia in non-survivors vs survivors: 98 = patients who died

Correlations of PaCO2

eGFR
r = 0.20, P = 0.001
LVEF
r = 0.13, P < 0.001
B-type natriuretic peptide
r = −0.28, P < 0.001
Lactate
r = −0.15, P < 0.001

In-hospital mortality by PaCO2 tertiles

Lowest PaCO2 tertile associated with increased risk of in-hospital mortality
all P < 0.05

Original publication

Hypocapnia is an Independent Predictor of in-Hospital Mortality in Acute Heart Failure. ESC Heart Fail. Published 6 February 2023. doi:10.1002/ehf2.14306

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