Valvular & structural heart disease

Identifying Mitral Valve Prolapse at Risk for Arrhythmias and Fibrosis From Electrocardiograms Using Deep Learning

JACC AdvPublished Diagnostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

CNN-analyzed 12-lead ECGs can detect MVP at risk for ventricular arrhythmias, death and/or fibrosis and can identify novel ECG correlates of arrhythmic risk.

Study context

Population
Patients with mitral valve prolapse, University of California-San Francisco, 2012–202087 of mitral valve prolapse (MVP) patients had contrast cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR)
Participants
569 vs 87
Comparison
Convolutional neural network (CNN)-analysed 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) for detection of complex ventricular ectopy (ComVE), mortality and late gadolinium enhancement (LGE)
  • CNN (ComVE)n = 569
  • CNN (LGE)n = 87
Outcome
CNN detection of complex ventricular ectopy (ComVE), death and/or myocardial fibrosis (LGE) on CMR
Methodological detailsdeep learning (CNN), single-centre
  • Deep learning (CNN)
  • Single-centre

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Detection of ComVE
Test or modelAUC
CNN (ComVE)0.80 (95% CI: 0.77-0.83)

CNN (ComVE)

AUC0.80 (95% CI: 0.77-0.83)
Prevalence of ComVE
28% (160/569)

Further findings

ComVE detection AUC, excluding moderate-severe mitral regurgitation

AUC of CNN for ComVE, excluding moderate-severe mitral regurgitation
0.80 (95% CI: 0.77-0.83)

ComVE detection AUC, excluding bileaflet MVP

AUC of CNN for ComVE, excluding bileaflet MVP
0.81 (95% CI: 0.76-0.85)

All-cause mortality detection

AUC to detect all-cause mortality
0.82 (95% CI: 0.77-0.87)

LGE (papillary muscles or basal inferolateral wall) on CMR

LGE prevalence among patients with available CMR
24%
AUC for detection of LGE
0.75 (95% CI: 0.68-0.82)

ECG segments relevant to ComVE prediction

Related to ventricular depolarization/repolarization (early-mid ST-segment and QRS from V1, V3, and III)

Original publication

Identifying Mitral Valve Prolapse at Risk for Arrhythmias and Fibrosis From Electrocardiograms Using Deep Learning. JACC Adv. Published 5 August 2023. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2023.100446

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