Coronary disease & ACS

Incorporation of lipoprotein(a) levels improves calibration of pre-test likelihood estimates of obstructive coronary artery disease

Eur Heart J Cardiovasc ImagingPublished Derivation and external validation of an Lp(a)-adjusted pre-test likelihood model

Authors' conclusion

Adding elevated Lp(a) as a risk factor to the RF-CL model improves accuracy of obstructive CAD in patients with high Lp(a).

Study context

Population
Patients without known coronary artery disease (CAD)derivation and external validation cohorts · Derivation cohort 4,262 · External validation cohort 1,595
Index test or model
RF-CLLp(a) vs RF-CL against obstructive CAD at invasive angiography with fractional flow reserve (validation: significant stenosis at invasive angiography or coronary computed tomography)
Target condition
obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD)
Methodological detailsderivation cohort, external validation cohort
  • Derivation cohort
  • External validation cohort

Performance

As reported in the abstract

RF-CLLp(a)

0.743

AUROC · SE 0.011

RF-CL

0.740

AUROC · SE 0.013

Further findings

Obstructive CAD in patients with elevated Lp(a)

Relative risk (95% CI)
Elevated Lp(a)Derivation cohort1.51 (1.23–1.86)
Elevated Lp(a)Validation cohort1.19 (0.88–1.60)

Calibration (derivation cohort)

RF-CLLp(a) showed better calibration in patients with elevated Lp(a)

Reclassification from RF-CL to RF-CLLp(a)

Improved likelihood stratification in the derivation cohort but not in the validation cohort

Prevalence of obstructive CAD / significant stenosis

Patients

Derivation cohort, obstructive CAD
473 (11.1%)
Validation cohort, significant stenosis
206 (12.9%)

Original publication

Incorporation of lipoprotein(a) levels improves calibration of pre-test likelihood estimates of obstructive coronary artery disease. Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Imaging. Published 5 February 2026. doi:10.1093/ehjci/jeag021

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