Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Incremental Value of C-Reactive Protein to the MEESSI Acute Heart Failure Risk Score

Eur J Heart FailPublished Prognostic study

Authors' conclusion

Quantifying inflammation using CRP concentration provided incremental value in AHF risk stratification using the established MEESSI model.

Study context

Population
Patients with centrally adjudicated acute heart failure (AHF) (BASEL V)validation cohort n = 575
Participants
1,208 patients
Comparison
Extended MEESSI model vs recalibrated MEESSI model
Outcome
Prognostic accuracy for 30-day mortality (c-statistic)
Follow-up
30 days
Methodological detailsprospective multicentre cohort with external validation, central adjudication, independent retrospective single-centre validation cohort
  • Prospective multicentre cohort with external validation
  • Central adjudication
  • Independent retrospective single-centre validation cohort

Performance

As reported in the abstract

30-day mortality, c-statistic
Test or modelC-statistic
Extended MEESSI0.83 (95% CI 0.79-0.87)
Recalibrated MEESSI0.79 (95% CI 0.75-0.83)

C-statistic

Extended MEESSI0.83 (95% CI 0.79-0.87)
Recalibrated MEESSI0.79 (95% CI 0.75-0.83)
  • Extended MEESSI vs Recalibrated MEESSI: P = 0.013

Further findings

Patients stratified into lowest risk group

Calibration of extended model
1.00 (95% CI 0.81-1.19) · Calibration slope · Calibration intercept 0.0 (95% CI −0.22 to 0.22)

Independent validation cohort

Results confirmed in the independent validation cohort (n = 575)

Original publication

Incremental Value of C-Reactive Protein to the MEESSI Acute Heart Failure Risk Score. Eur J Heart Fail. Published 23 June 2024. doi:10.1002/ejhf.3349

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