Pulmonary vascular disease & thromboembolism

Indefinite Anticoagulant Therapy for First Unprovoked Venous Thromboembolism : A Cost-Effectiveness Study

Ann Intern MedPublished Markov modeling study

Study context

Population
Patients with a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) who completed 3 to 6 months of initial anticoagulant treatmenthypothetical cohort aged 55 years
Participants
1,000 patients
Comparison
Indefinite anticoagulation with DOACs vs discontinuing anticoagulation after initial treatment
Outcome
Recurrent VTE events, major bleeding events, costs (2022 Canadian dollars) and QALYs
Follow-up
Lifetime
Methodological detailslifetime time horizon, Canadian health care public payer perspective, Model assumed risks for recurrent VTE and major bleeding measured in trials at 1 year remained constant during extended anticoagulation
  • Lifetime time horizon
  • Canadian health care public payer perspective
  • Model assumed risks for recurrent VTE and major bleeding measured in trials at 1 year remained constant during extended anticoagulation

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Base-case analysis

Difference

16 014 CAD $ per person

cost

Difference

−0.075 QALYs per person

did not increase quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs)

Recurrent VTE events prevented per 1000 patients
368
Fatal pulmonary emboli prevented (included in recurrent VTE)
14

Further findings

Sensitivity analysis

Results most sensitive to case-fatality rate of major bleeding and annual risk for major bleeding during extended anticoagulation

Safety

Major bleeding (additional events per 1000 patients) · Lifetime

Additional major bleeding events
114
Intracranial hemorrhages
30
Deaths from bleeding
11

Original publication

Indefinite Anticoagulant Therapy for First Unprovoked Venous Thromboembolism : A Cost-Effectiveness Study. Ann Intern Med. Published 27 June 2023. doi:10.7326/m22-3559

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