Coronary disease & ACS

Individual lifetime benefit from low-dose colchicine in patients with chronic coronary artery disease

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished Modelling study of individual lifetime treatment benefit

Authors' conclusion

The absolute benefits of low-dose colchicine vary between individual patients with chronic CAD. They may be expected to be of at least similar magnitude to those of intensified LDL-c and SBP reduction in a majority of patients already on conventional lipid-lowering and blood pressure-lowering therapy.

Study context

Population
Patients with chronic coronary artery disease (CAD) from the LoDoCo2 trial and UCC-SMART studyREduction of Atherothrombosis for Continued Health (REACH) validation n = 25,812
Participants
10,830 patients
Comparison
Low-dose colchicine vs intensified LDL-c reduction vs systolic blood pressure (SBP) reduction
Outcome
Individual 10-year ARR for MACE (MI, stroke or CV death) and MACE-free life-years gained
Follow-up
10 years; lifetime
Methodological detailsSMART-REACH model, LoDoCo2 trial and UCC-SMART cohort, external validation in REACH registry
  • SMART-REACH model
  • LoDoCo2 trial and UCC-SMART cohort
  • External validation in REACH registry

Performance

As reported in the abstract

MACE
Test or modelValueMACE-free years gained (IQR 1.6-2.5)MACE-free life-years gained (IQR 0.6-2.1)MACE-free life-years gained (IQR 0.0-2.3)
Low-dose colchicinemedian 10-year ARR 4.6% (IQR 3.6–6.0%)2.0
LDL-c reductionmedian 10-year ARR 3.0% (IQR 1.5–5.1%)1.2
SBP reductionmedian 10-year ARR 1.7% (IQR 0.0–5.7%)0.7

Value

Low-dose colchicinemedian 10-year ARR 4.6% (IQR 3.6–6.0%)
LDL-c reductionmedian 10-year ARR 3.0% (IQR 1.5–5.1%)
SBP reductionmedian 10-year ARR 1.7% (IQR 0.0–5.7%)

MACE-free years gained (IQR 1.6-2.5)

Low-dose colchicine2.0
LDL-c reductionNot reported in the abstract
SBP reductionNot reported in the abstract

MACE-free life-years gained (IQR 0.6-2.1)

Low-dose colchicineNot reported in the abstract
LDL-c reduction1.2
SBP reductionNot reported in the abstract

MACE-free life-years gained (IQR 0.0-2.3)

Low-dose colchicineNot reported in the abstract
LDL-c reductionNot reported in the abstract
SBP reduction0.7

Further findings

OutcomeLow-dose colchicineLDL-c reductionSBP reduction
MACE+ (MACE plus coronary revascularization)median 10-year ARR 8.6% (IQR 7.6–9.8%)
MACE+-free life-years gained (IQR 2.6-4.2)3.4Not reported in the abstractNot reported in the abstractLDL-c reduction, SBP reduction: not reported in the abstract

MACE+ (MACE plus coronary revascularization)

Similar results for MACE+ and in American and European patients from REACH

Original publication

Individual lifetime benefit from low-dose colchicine in patients with chronic coronary artery disease. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 6 July 2023. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwad221

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

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