Aortic & peripheral vascular diseaseCohort study

Lifetime risk of lower extremity peripheral arterial disease: a Danish nationwide longitudinal study

Eur Heart JPublished

  • Nationwide cohort study
  • longitudinal

Authors' conclusion

More than one in 10 Danish individuals are diagnosed with symptomatic PAD during their lifetime. Peripheral arterial disease diagnosis is associated with high morbidity and mortality at 1 and 5 years.

Study context

Population
Individuals in Denmark aged 40–99 years, 1998–2018151,846 diagnosed with peripheral arterial disease (PAD)
Participants
4,275,631 individuals
Exposure
Males vs Females
Outcome
Lifetime risk of PAD (death as competing risk)
Follow-up
From age 40

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Lifetime risk of PAD from age 40
Overall lifetime risk of PAD from age 40
11.6% (95% CI 11.6%-11.7%)
Lifetime risk in 1998-2002
12.9%
Lifetime risk in 2013-18
10.7%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Outcomerisk difference (95% CI)
Lifetime risk of PAD by socioeconomic status — Lower educational level vs Females3.4% (3.2%–3.6%)
Lifetime risk of PAD by socioeconomic status — Lower income vs Females0.4% (0.2%–0.5%)

Median age at PAD diagnosis

Median age at diagnosis 71.5 years (IQR 63.1-79.2)

Outcomes after PAD diagnosis · 1 and 5 years

Lower limb revascularization at 1 year
21.4%
Major amputation at 1 year
8.0%
Death at 1 year
16.2%
Lower limb revascularization at 5 years
26.4%
Major amputation at 5 years
10.8%
Death at 5 years
40.8%
Revascularization risk varied little by sex and socioeconomic status; strong socioeconomic gradient for major amputation and all-cause death

Original publication

Lifetime risk of lower extremity peripheral arterial disease: a Danish nationwide longitudinal study. Eur Heart J. Published 17 December 2024. doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehae867

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it