Cardiometabolic & kidney

Longitudinal association of electrocardiogram abnormalities with major adverse cardiac events in people with Type 2 diabetes: the Hoorn Diabetes Care System cohort

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

In people with T2D without pre-existing CVD, ECG abnormalities related to decelerated conduction, ischaemia, and hypertrophy are predominantly early signs of emerging HF, while only abnormalities related to ischaemic disorders are signs of CHD.

Study context

Population
People with T2DM without known cardiovascular disease (CVD), Hoorn Diabetes Care System cohort, 1998–2018905 (7.5%) had major adverse cardiac events (MACE)
Participants
11,993 people
Exposure
Electrocardiogram (ECG) abnormalities vs none
Outcome
Incident MACE:
  • CHD
  • HF
  • Sudden cardiac arrest
Follow-up
Median 6.6 (IQR, 3.1-10.7) years
Methodological detailslongitudinal, time-dependent Cox regression, annually repeated measurements
  • Longitudinal
  • Time-dependent Cox regression
  • Annually repeated measurements

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident MACE by type (adjusted)
Hazard ratio (95% CI)
Prolonged QRS durationHF
4.01(2.67–6.03)
QS patternHF
2.68(0.85–8.49)
ST-segment/T-wave abnormalitiesHF
4.26(2.67–6.80)
Tall R-waveHF
2.23(1.33–3.76)
QS patternCHD
2.69(1.20–6.03)
ST-segment/T-wave abnormalitiesCHD
2.11(1.48–3.02)
MACE: 529 coronary heart disease (CHD), 250 heart failure (HF), 126 sudden cardiac arrest (SCA)
905 (7.5%)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Any ECG abnormality (prevalent or incident)

Participants with an ECG abnormality
5445 (45.4%)
  • Median 6 (IQR, 3-10) annual ECG recordings

Subgroups by age, sex, hypertension, estimated CVD risk

Associations robust across subgroups

Original publication

Longitudinal association of electrocardiogram abnormalities with major adverse cardiac events in people with Type 2 diabetes: the Hoorn Diabetes Care System cohort. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 10 January 2023. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwac314

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

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