Cohort study

Modeling the Association of Volume vs Composite Outcome Thresholds With Outcomes and Access to Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation in the US

JAMA CardiolPublished

  • Retrospective cohort study (modelling)
  • registry-based
  • modelled scenarios

Authors' conclusion

In this study, compared with the current system of care, a modeled outcome-based spoke-and-hub paradigm of TAVI care improved national outcomes to a greater extent than a simulated volume threshold, at the cost of increased driving time.

Study context

Population
Adults undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) in the US STS/ACC Transcatheter Valve Therapy registry; baseline July 2017–June 2020, modelled July 2020–March 2022
Participants
166,248 adults
Exposure
Modelled volume threshold vs outcome-based spoke-and-hub vs current care
Outcome
Absolute difference in events between adjusted observed and modelled composite of death, stroke, major bleeding, stage III AKI and paravalvular leak
Follow-up
30 days

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Adverse events reduced (30-day composite)

Number of events reduced

Volume threshold · no significant reduction
−34 (95% CrI −75 to 8)
Best outcome site · fewer adverse outcomes
1261 (95% CrI 1013–1500)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Median, minutes

OutcomeVolume thresholdBest outcome siteCurrent system of care
Driving time to alternate site22 (IQR 15–66)23 (IQR 15–41)Not reported in the abstract

Black, Hispanic and rural individuals (subgroups)

Directionally similar findings

Original publication

Modeling the Association of Volume vs Composite Outcome Thresholds With Outcomes and Access to Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation in the US. JAMA Cardiol. Published 1 May 2023. doi:10.1001/jamacardio.2023.0477

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it