Valvular & structural heart disease

Natural History and Outcomes of Patients With Moderate and Moderate-Severe Mitral Regurgitation

JACC AdvPublished retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Patients with moderate or moderate-severe MR accrue significant mortality and morbidity over follow-up. Further trials are needed to ascertain the indication, optimal timing and method of procedural intervention.

Study context

Population
Consecutive patients with moderate or moderate-severe mitral regurgitation (MR) who underwent echocardiography at Mayo Clinic between 2010 and 2023mean age 70.7 ± 13.7 years, 45.1% female, median follow-up 4.1 years (Q1-Q3: 2.3–7.9)
Participants
8,687 patients
Exposure
Functional MR vs degenerative MR
Outcome
All-cause mortality (overall survival)
Follow-up
4 years
Methodological detailsconsecutive patients, single-centre (Mayo Clinic)
  • Consecutive patients
  • Single-centre (Mayo Clinic)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Overall survival
68.5% (95% CI: 67.4%-69.7%)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Secondary outcomes

MR progression to severe MR

Adjusted HR (95% CI)P value
Functional MRLess common in functional MR0.65 (0.54–0.79)P < 0.001

Mitral valve intervention

Adjusted HR (95% CI)P value
Functional MRSignificantly less common in functional MR0.45 (0.37–0.56)P < 0.001

Cumulative incidence

OutcomeDegenerative MRFunctional MR
HF hospitalization (cumulative incidence) · 4 years17.9% (95% CI 15.7%–20%)36.8% (95% CI 35.6%–38.1%)
MR progression to severe MR — MR progression occurred
32.7% (95% CI: 31.0%-34.4%)
Mitral valve intervention — Mitral valve intervention
11.4% (95% CI: 10.6%-12.1%)

Heart failure (HF) hospitalization (cumulative incidence) · 4 years

Risk of HF hospitalization similar after multivariable adjustments

Original publication

Natural History and Outcomes of Patients With Moderate and Moderate-Severe Mitral Regurgitation. JACC Adv. Published 23 July 2026. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2026.103057

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