Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Personalized Lifetime Prediction of Survival and Treatment Benefit in Patients with Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction: The LIFE-HF Model

Eur J Heart FailPublished Prediction model development and validation study

Authors' conclusion

The LIFE-HF model enables estimation of lifelong overall and HF hospitalization-free survival, and (lifetime) treatment benefit for individual patients with HFrEF.

Study context

Population
Patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) (development: PARADIGM-HF and ATMOSPHERE trials; validation: SwedeHF registry, ASIAN-HF registry, DAPA-HF trial)validation n = 51,286
Participants
15,415 patients
Outcome
CV death, HF hospitalization or CV death, and non-CV mortality
Methodological detailsexternal validation
  • External validation

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Model performance in external validation

C-statistics

0.65-0.74

Further findings

Estimated benefit of combined MRA, SGLT2 inhibitor and ARNI in development cohort

Additional years of overall survival, median (IQR 1.7-3.7)
2.5
Additional years of heart failure (HF) hospitalization-free survival, median (IQR 2.4-5.5)
3.7

Original publication

Personalized Lifetime Prediction of Survival and Treatment Benefit in Patients with Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction: The LIFE-HF Model. Eur J Heart Fail. Published 18 September 2023. doi:10.1002/ejhf.3028

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