Aortic & peripheral vascular diseaseCohort study

Polygenic Prediction of Peripheral Artery Disease and Major Adverse Limb Events

JAMA CardiolPublished

  • Longitudinal cohort study
  • multiancestry
  • 3 populations
  • Data analyzed July 2023 to February 2025

Authors' conclusion

This cohort study develops a new PRS that stratifies risk of PAD and adverse limb outcomes.

Study context

Population
Individuals with genotyping and electronic health record data in UK Biobank (2006–2021), All of Us (2018–2022) and Mass General Brigham Biobank (MGBB) (2010–2023)3 cohorts: UK Biobank 400,533, All of Us (AoU) 218,500, MGBB 32,982
Exposure
High vs remaining PRS-PAD
Outcome
PAD and major adverse limb events (surrogate of major amputation and acute limb ischemia)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

PAD (UK Biobank validation cohort)
Odds ratio (95% CI)P value
PRS-PAD per SD increase
1.63(1.60–1.68)
P < 0.001
Top 20% PRS-PAD vs Remainderadjusted for clinical risk factors
1.68(1.62–1.74)
P < 0.001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHR (95% CI)P value
Incident major adverse limb events among prevalent PAD, high PRS-PAD — High PRS-PAD vs Remainder · UK Biobank1.75 (1.18–2.57)P = 0.005
Incident major adverse limb events among prevalent PAD, high PRS-PAD — High PRS-PAD vs Remainder · MGBB1.56 (1.06–2.30)P = 0.02
Incident major adverse limb events among prevalent PAD, high PRS-PAD — High PRS-PAD vs Remainder · AoU1.57 (1.06–2.33)P = 0.03

Incident peripheral artery disease (PAD) discrimination (C statistic)

PRS-PAD
0.761
Diabetes
0.760
Smoking
0.765

High PRS-PAD (top 20%) among PAD cases without diabetes, smoking or CKD (n = 3645)

1097 individuals
30.1%

Original publication

Polygenic Prediction of Peripheral Artery Disease and Major Adverse Limb Events. JAMA Cardiol. Published 1 August 2025. doi:10.1001/jamacardio.2025.1182

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it