Coronary disease & ACSCohort study

Prognostic importance of exercise electrocardiography in patients with suspected microvascular disease

HeartPublished

  • single-centre observational study
  • consecutive patients

Authors' conclusion

In patients with suspected CMD, ischaemic ST-segment changes are of limited prognostic value, showing poor sensitivity and low PPV for the occurrence of MACE. However, reduced exercise capacity was an independent risk factor and, therefore, ex-ECG testing could be considered if a functional assessment of patients is warranted.

Study context

Population
Chest pain patients with suspected coronary microvascular dysfunction (CMD) (ischaemia due to epicardial coronary stenosis ruled out by MPS)final study cohort, 1021 consecutive patients examined, 113 excluded due to inconclusive ex-ECG findings or missing data and 148 due to ischaemia on MPS
Participants
760 patients
Exposure
Abnormal vs normal ex-ECG for major adverse cardiac events (MACE)
  • abnormal ex-ECGn = 126

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

MACE:
  • Cardiovascular death
  • Myocardial infarction
  • Unstable angina
  • Unplanned revascularisation
· mean follow-up of 8.5 years

Hazard ratio

1.1

CI 0.7–1.7

P = 0.6

Events by group

Abnormal vs normal ex-ECG for MACE
HR 1.1 (CI 0.7–1.7); P = 0.6
Kaplan-Meier curves for cumulative events separated significantly
log-rank p=0.01

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Prognostic PPV of an abnormal ex-ECG

All patients
25% (31/126)
Excluding patients with known coronary artery disease (n=323)
17% (11/66)

Original publication

Prognostic importance of exercise electrocardiography in patients with suspected microvascular disease. Heart. Published 13 February 2026. doi:10.1136/heartjnl-2025-327173

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it