Prevention & lipids

Prognostic value of coronary artery calcium score for the prediction of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in participants with suspected nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis: Results from the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis

Am Heart JPublished Prospective cohort study

Main finding · Incident ASCVDResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 1.33 95% CI 1.22–1.44

Authors' conclusion

The inclusion of CAC score in global risk assessment was found to significantly improve the classification of incident ASCVD events in participants with suspected nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis

Study context

Population
Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) participants with suspected nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis (CT liver/spleen attenuation ratio <1), no previous CV events
Participants
713 participants
Exposure
Coronary artery calcium (CAC) score added to clinical risk factors vs clinical risk factors alone
Outcome
Incident ASCVD
Methodological detailsmultivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis
  • Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Hazard ratio

1.33

95% CI 1.22–1.44

P < 0.001

By group

Clinical risk factors + CAC

C-statistic
0.739
tAUC at 10 years
0.771

Clinical risk factors

C-statistic
0.677
tAUC at 10 years
0.668

C-statistic

Clinical risk factors + CAC0.739
Clinical risk factors0.677

tAUC at 10 years

Clinical risk factors + CAC0.771
Clinical risk factors0.668
CAC score
HR 1.33 (95% CI 1.22–1.44); P < 0.001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Incremental prognostic value of CAC, by 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk (subgroup)

More significant in low/borderline- (<7.5%) and intermediate- (7.5%-20%) 10-year ASCVD risk

Original publication

Prognostic value of coronary artery calcium score for the prediction of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in participants with suspected nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis: Results from the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis. Am Heart J. Published 28 July 2023. doi:10.1016/j.ahj.2023.07.008

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