Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Prognostic Value of Myocardial T1 Mapping and Extracellular Volume Fraction in Heart Failure: A Meta-Analysis

JACC Cardiovasc ImagingPublished Systematic review and meta-analysis

Authors' conclusion

ECV has consistent prognostic implications across HF spectrum, regardless of HF types, clinical characteristics, and various etiology. Native T1 is less predictive than ECV, particularly in HF with preserved ejection fraction.

Study context

Population
Patients with heart failure (HF) (HFrEF and HFpEF)
Participants
5,384 patients19 studies
Comparison
Native T1 and ECV as prognostic markers in HF
Outcome
Adverse outcomes:
  • Mortality
  • HF-related event
  • Composite outcome

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Adverse outcomes:
  • Mortality
  • HF-related event
  • Composite
Higher native T1 in patients with vs without adverse outcomes, weighted MD
41.17 ms
Higher ECV in patients with vs without adverse outcomes, weighted MD
4.73%
HR per 1% increase in ECV
1.20 (95% CI 1.13-1.28)
HR per >1% increase in ECV
1.56 (95% CI 1.40-1.75)
HR ECV binary
2.62 (95% CI 2.07-3.32)
HR per 1-ms increase in native T1
1.02 (95% CI 1.01-1.03)
HR per ≥10-ms increase in native T1
1.08 (95% CI 1.05-1.11)
HR native T1 binary
2.93 (95% CI 2.03-4.23)

Further pooled results

Native T1 in HFpEF (subgroup)

Native T1 had no significant prognostic value in HFpEF
P > 0.05

Higher-risk subgroups with abnormal T1 mapping

Younger patients, NYHA III-IV, persistently increasing ECV, or negative late enhancement with abnormal T1 mapping at higher risk of adverse outcomes

Original publication

Prognostic Value of Myocardial T1 Mapping and Extracellular Volume Fraction in Heart Failure: A Meta-Analysis. JACC Cardiovasc Imaging. Published 29 August 2025. doi:10.1016/j.jcmg.2025.06.017

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