Prevention & lipidsCohort study

Reassessing alcohol consumption and cardiovascular disease by addressing bias in observational data: results from the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished

  • Prospective cohort study
  • multi-ethnic
  • ITT reallocation of former drinkers
  • occasional drinkers as reference

Authors' conclusion

Associations between alcohol and CVD in observational studies are sensitive to methodologic variation.

Study context

Population
Adults aged 45–84 years without baseline cardiovascular disease (CVD), Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA), 2000–20026,755 included
Participants
6,814 adults
Exposure
Alcohol consumption categories, conventional vs bias-adjusted models
Outcome
CAC (0, 1-100, 101-300, >300) and clinical events (MI, stroke, CV mortality, MACE, HF)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

CVD outcomes in bias-adjusted models
Each group vs occasionalHazard ratio (95% CI)
ModerateMI; attenuated, non-significant
0.64(0.38–1.06)
ModerateCV mortality; attenuated, non-significant
0.81(0.53–1.25)
LightMI
1.46(1.11–1.92)
Lightstroke
1.54(1.17–2.03)
LightMACE
1.33(1.12–1.57)
LightHF
1.42(1.10–1.84)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Drinking status distribution

Original publication

Reassessing alcohol consumption and cardiovascular disease by addressing bias in observational data: results from the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 9 May 2026. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwag201

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it